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Rainmaker
5,112,471
Nina Hollander, Broker
Coldwell Banker Realty - Charlotte, NC
Your Greater Charlotte Realtor

It's possible in that in some of these cities it's a housing bubble, but in many cities (like mine) it's not a bubble... it's a supply and demand issue. Prices are going up due to lack of supply, unlike 10 years ago when supply was plentiful and prices were going up. 

Aug 21, 2018 04:28 AM
Rainmaker
1,846,901
Lyn Sims
Schaumburg, IL
Real Estate Broker Retired

Nice survey I guess if you like pictures. There are always going to be pricey areas vs wages. I think it's called the state of California.

Most of those area have gained the most equity the fastest. Popular areas are just going to do that.

Aug 21, 2018 04:50 AM
Rainmaker
1,712,776
Joe Pryor
The Virtual Real Estate Team - Oklahoma City, OK
REALTOR® - Oklahoma Investment Properties

I don't think we have a bubble, the fraudulent forces aren't there anymore. I believe we are back to market cycles that have value resets.

Aug 21, 2018 04:45 AM
Rainmaker
613,494
Eve Alexander
Buyers Broker of Florida - Tampa, FL
Exclusively Representing ONLY Tampa Home Buyers

I think too many people think they have a crystal ball...

Just like all those that predicted the Trump could never win.

Eve

 

Aug 21, 2018 04:32 AM
Rainmaker
4,582,184
Michael Jacobs
Pasadena, CA
Pasadena And Southern California 818.516.4393

Life goes on.

Aug 21, 2018 04:52 AM
Ambassador
6,417,434
Bob Crane
Woodland Management Service / Woodland Real Estate, KW Diversified - Stevens Point, WI
Forestland Experts! 715-204-9671

Often we get what we expect, and an article is sometimes the start of that expectation.

Aug 21, 2018 04:36 AM
Rainmaker
547,527
Steven Nickens
Hawaii Life Real Estate Brokers - Wailea, HI
R(S)GRI ABR, Maui Real Estate Hawaii

What goes up must come down.

Aug 21, 2018 04:30 AM
Rainmaker
1,056,272
Candice A. Donofrio
Next Wave RE Investments LLC Bullhead City AZ Commercial RE Broker - Fort Mohave, AZ
928-201-4BHC (4242) call/text

Markets are cyclical.
Real estate is local, regional and hyperlocal.
🎶And The Beat Goes On on on on🎶

Aug 21, 2018 06:51 AM
Rainmaker
3,416,038
Scott Godzyk
Godzyk Real Estate Services - Manchester, NH
One of the Manchester NH's area Leading Agents

The article includes quite a few areas that people are moving out. Herein NH where we have a mass influx of relocations, there is no bubble. That does not make it a bubble. The key factor is interest rates. If they raise them too fast they will throw the brakes in the market

Aug 21, 2018 05:27 AM
Rainer
140,560
Richard L. McKinney P.A.
Atlantic Shores Realty Expertise - Port St Lucie, FL
For Results that MOVE you on the Treasure Coast!

I do not believe that we will see a market crash like 2007. That market had many factors that we do not have now.

I do believe that certain markets where wages are not keeping pace with home prices, will see a correction. For example, south Florida. We may see a slight correction in the market and I can see prices coming down a little. That said, even with a 10% to 15% correction in our market, we would have enough sellable inventory and equity to keep deals moving through the pipeline.

AND that is the KEY .... sellable inventory. (fewer people burred in their homes, fewer foreclosures)

Aug 21, 2018 04:41 AM
Rainmaker
2,784,566
Richie Alan Naggar
people first...then business Ran Right Realty - Riverside, CA
agent & author

A shift is due...Note: Bubbles come (and go)  in different sizes

Aug 21, 2018 06:40 AM
Rainmaker
921,504
Annette Lawrence , Palm Harbor, FL 727-420-4041
ReMax Realtec Group - Palm Harbor, FL
Making FLORIDA Real Estate EZ

I higly dislike and suspect overt minipulaton when words like Bubble and Crash are used to describe market corrections.  When prices exceed available money, then prices will be adjusted.

No one is createing FAKE MONEY like Bank of America did in 2004.

There are not observables like 'IF you can fog a mirror' you get a mortgage.

The real crash in the real estate agent market will be technology driven.

Price adjustments after 10 years of steady price increases should be expected.

Aug 21, 2018 05:41 AM
Ambassador
5,254,035
Debe Maxwell, CRS
Savvy + Company (704) 491-3310 - Charlotte, NC
The RIGHT CHARLOTTE REALTOR!

Talking heads who are not in the thick of our real estate market - they're rampant!

Charlotte is in 'critical shortage' mode right now and it's going to take a long time to recover from our 1.9 month supply. I don't see a bubble in our future for a long time! (At least that's what my crystal ball is telling me!)

Aug 21, 2018 05:34 AM
Rainmaker
2,221,377
Anthony Acosta - ALLATLANTAcondos.com
Harry Norman, REALTORS® - Atlanta, GA
Associate Broker

Thank you Carol Williams so glad the name of my city was not there.....

Aug 21, 2018 05:16 AM
Rainmaker
1,506,013
Ryan Huggins - Thousand Oaks, CA
https://HugginsHomes.com - Thousand Oaks, CA
Residential Real Estate and Investment Properties

I'm sticking with "not a bubble" but a supply and demand issue.  High demand & low supply equals increased prices to the point of homes not being affordable.  The smart money is lowering their prices already and selling their homes.

Aug 21, 2018 09:32 AM
Rainmaker
531,677
Marie Story
Coldwell Banker - Pinecrest (Miami) - Pinecrest, FL
Broker Associate, Pinecrest (Miami) Specialist

We are definitely going through a price adjustment period here in my area, especially in the properties over 2M.  Some price brackets have an over 2 year absorption rate.

But like always, if you're listing is priced right for your location, condition and market - it should sell. 

Aug 21, 2018 09:04 AM
Rainmaker
519,324
Dan Tabit
Keller Williams Bellevue - Sammamish, WA

If you predict something often enough, eventually you're right. I can't speak for most markets, but in mine we're slowing, but not popping.  When you're traveling at 70 mph and you have to slow down to 45, it feels slow, but your still making progress.  Instead of double digit annual appreciation we may only see 5% to 7%.  Too many limits on housing, and too many good employers in the greater Seattle area for things to go backwards in the foreseeable future. 

Aug 21, 2018 08:48 AM
Rainmaker
5,583,328
Barbara Todaro
RE/MAX Executive Realty - Happily Retired - Franklin, MA
Previously Affiliated with The Todaro Team

no housing bubble in the Boston MA area...

Aug 21, 2018 07:43 AM
Ambassador
3,349,404
Kathleen Daniels, Probate & Trust Specialist
KD Realty - 408.972.1822 - San Jose, CA
Probate Real Estate Services

I just took a gander.  I know nothing about those areas so I have no take.  I am surprised to see a County next to mine on the list yet not my area.  Too many experts in the world that want to yell from the rooftops the sky is falling ... gloom and doom.  As others have suggested, supply and demand are at play as is mortgage lending practices which no longer give loans to dead people. 

Aug 21, 2018 07:42 AM
Rainmaker
5,772,581
Ron and Alexandra Seigel
Napa Consultants - Carpinteria, CA
Luxury Real Estate Branding, Marketing & Strategy

Carol,

Everything is possible.  I have seen these type of articles for the last several years...A

Aug 21, 2018 07:28 AM
Rainmaker
703,949
The Villages Realty
The Villages Realty - San Jose, CA
"Our Performance Will Move You!"

Saw it.  But, being in Silicon Valley, we are just having a slowdown but still have appreciation.

Aug 21, 2018 07:02 AM
Rainmaker
4,800,132
Gabe Sanders
Real Estate of Florida specializing in Martin County Residential Homes, Condos and Land Sales - Stuart, FL
Stuart Florida Real Estate

I don't have a take.  I don't know how well their crystal ball is working.

Aug 21, 2018 06:38 AM
Ambassador
5,060,494
Jeff Dowler, CRS
eXp Realty of California, Inc. - Carlsbad, CA
The Southern California Relocation Dude

No I didn't see this. Yep, prices are high and getting higher, and affordability is an issue but I don't think the conditions are quite the same.

Aug 21, 2018 06:17 AM
Rainmaker
5,239,001
Wayne Martin
Wayne M Martin - Chicago, IL
Real Estate Broker - Retired

No bubble, no trouble. Life goes on!

Aug 21, 2018 06:01 AM
Rainmaker
1,553,319
Thomas J. Nelson, REALTOR ® e-Pro CRS RCS-D Vets
Big Block Realty 858.232.8722 - La Jolla, CA
CEO of Vision Drive Realty - Coastal San Diego

Supply + Demand  x  low unemployment = NO BUBBLE

Having been through an actual "bubble" I can't be fooled into the sky is falling.

Aug 21, 2018 05:44 AM
Rainmaker
4,900,966
Richard Weeks
Dallas, TX
REALTOR®, Broker

No bubble here.  We have low unemployment, low interest rates, and no crazy appreciation.

Aug 21, 2018 05:37 AM
Rainmaker
4,434,177
Gita Bantwal
RE/MAX Centre Realtors - Warwick, PA
REALTOR,ABR,CRS,SRES,GRI - Bucks County & Philadel

Thank you for sharing.

Aug 21, 2018 05:37 AM
Rainmaker
2,191,798
Michael J. Perry
KW Elite - Lancaster, PA
Lancaster, PA Relo Specialist

Live for Today ???

Aug 21, 2018 05:30 AM
Rainmaker
632,925
Buzz Mackintosh
Mackintosh REALTORS - Frederick, MD
“Experience, reliable, leadership”

Supply & demand is the big issue in our market and prices are not increasing like they did in 2005-06. However most trends start on the West coast and spread East.

Aug 21, 2018 05:20 AM
Rainmaker
7,863,184
Roy Kelley
Retired - Gaithersburg, MD

Thanks for the link.

 

Aug 21, 2018 05:12 AM
Ambassador
2,684,569
Fred Griffin Florida Real Estate
Fred Griffin Real Estate - Tallahassee, FL
Licensed Florida Real Estate Broker

 Tallahassee didn't make the list.  I suppose that's a good thing!

Aug 21, 2018 06:44 PM
Rainer
86,514
Mike Kelly,CRS,CIPS
The MJKelly Team - Santa Rosa, CA
"One of Sonoma County's Natural Resources"

I agree with Sam. Here in Sonoma County, just an hours drive north of the Golden Gate, our median home price hit a record of $705,000 in June +13% YOY but in July it came back to earth to $653,000 +3% YOY. Sales have sucked since May with steady decreases. August sales won't break this trend. Prices are softening, price reductions are broadbased. Inventory is increasing because our anemic sales can't absorb the new listings. What creates a Bubble? Rampant speculation, EZ money, tons of homes to choose from. California ain't there! What's going to stop this market is affordability. Spoke with a large loan originator today and they sale the loans are at 2008 levels. They have a ton of buyers but many are at 50% ratios--rates tweak a bit and they are out of the market.  Go on and play your fiddles--i'm monitoring this market with a juandiced eye! 

Aug 21, 2018 06:37 PM
Rainmaker
766,079
Tony Lewis
Summit Real Estate Group - Valencia, CA
Summit Real Estate Group Valencia & Aliso Viejo

The only bubble when people start losing their jobs.

Aug 21, 2018 04:08 PM
Rainer
420,003
Caroline Gerardo
Licensed in 20 states - Newport Beach, CA
C. G. Barbeau the Loan Lady nmls 324982

If we look back in history when we were in bubbles noone would listen. It's kind of like the cone of silence on Get Smart - ignore and march on.

I do see slowing in many markets

Aug 21, 2018 03:36 PM
Rainmaker
991,252
Jennifer Mackay
Counts Real Estate Group, Inc. - Panama City, FL
Your Bay County Florida Realtor 850.774.6582

I guess it's possible is those cities, but we have plenty of inventory to sell here and prices are still very good but rising

Aug 21, 2018 03:07 PM
Rainmaker
1,241,754
Sam Shueh
(408) 425-1601 - San Jose, CA
mba, cdpe, reopro, pe

It says I will barely miss it between SF and East Bay.  But...

The clue come from job numbers. This cycle in Silicon Valley & SFBA it is the stock options that precipitate the craze. Can you blame momentum high tech companies throwing huge wage and stock incentives by giving away freebies? These workers will not worth 1/3 what they are getting if they go to another US city. These companies are funded by investment companies and are mostly gambling better technology will produce corporate profits. Many of these high flyers are milking the Dot Com failed ideas. Some ideas get now more support than 10-15 years ago because of better wireless technology. Likewise can we use another social media or bed breakfast or cash out payment systems?

I watched the movie "The Big Short" and contemplate if another crisis is coming this way. This time housing crisis will be based on not having incomes to pay for mortgage. Last time it was the subprime mortgage that costed US 3 trillion dollars and created 2 million homeless families. If the stocks took a 20% loss in value as proposed you will immediate see funding not coming from the VC bankers. Sharp decrease in options.  You will see people stop buying homes and more are opt to unload due to job losses.  The inflation figures reported do not include food and cheap energy. The unemployment figures of 1.5% here does not include people who are stop working.   

Mark Cuban, Michael Burry have the instints when to stop. Both come from blue collar class and put the break on before others. They put their money in the bank already.  Only the fools think there is no end to a growth. Leverage and use borrowed cheap money for future expansions.  We are close to another melt down and this time it can be from fiscal policy. The Trade War if lingering long will have a pronounced impact on the America economy.       

Aug 21, 2018 01:26 PM
Rainmaker
1,153,794
Kevin J. May
Florida Supreme Realty - Hobe Sound, FL
Serving the Treasure & Paradise Coasts of Florida

I was wondering where the outflow of Californians were heading?

Aug 21, 2018 09:02 AM
Rainmaker
1,045,440
Dave Martin (703) 585-4687
Fairfax Realty - Fairfax, VA
Making Realty Dreams a Reality #WeWillGetYouHome

I hadn't seen it until your share I'll try to take a look at this a bit later in the week.

Aug 26, 2018 07:26 PM
Rainmaker
4,960,449
Will Hamm
Hamm Homes - Aurora, CO
"Where There's a Will, There's a Way!"

Glad Denver is not on the list.

 

Aug 26, 2018 09:02 AM
Rainmaker
5,877,335
Joan Cox
House to Home, Inc. - Denver Real Estate - 720-231-6373 - Denver, CO
Denver Real Estate - Selling One Home at a Time

Glad to see Denver was not on this list, but we are feeling a slight slowdown, and will see after Labor Day if it picks back up! 

Aug 26, 2018 05:20 AM
Rainmaker
1,728,156
Sandy Padula & Norm Padula, JD, GRI
HomeSmart Realty West & Florida Realty Investments - , CA
Presence, Persistence & Perseverance

I believe it and the same applies to the SoCal Market. We have encountered many instances of wages not keeping pace with home prices so many potential buyers can no longer qualify for mortgages

Aug 23, 2018 04:38 AM
Ambassador
3,167,614
Tammy Lankford,
Lane Realty Eatonton, GA Lake Sinclair, Milledgeville, 706-485-9668 - Eatonton, GA
Broker GA Lake Sinclair/Eatonton/Milledgeville

I'm surprised to see Tennessee and Texas have cities on the list.  The rest... well when you pay a burger flipper $15 an hour what can you expect.

Aug 22, 2018 07:35 PM
Rainmaker
3,986,308
William Feela
WHISPERING PINES REALTY - North Branch, MN
Realtor, Whispering Pines Realty 651-674-5999 No.

To me some entites made a lot of money from the b ad luck of others and do not know how to make money now in a good market

Aug 22, 2018 05:46 PM
Rainmaker
4,319,773
Praful Thakkar
LAER Realty Partners - Burlington, MA
Metro Boston Homes For Sale

Carol Williams - well my buyers are 'WINNING' in this so-called bubble.

Aug 21, 2018 10:11 PM