Managing Equity and Markets

I wanted to update this week's Rate Watch because we got some good news yesterday. We got inflation numbers and they came in at 7.1% which was under the projection of 7.3%. Probably not enough to have the FED increase .25 tomorrow, but certainly should guarantee a .50 increase and not .75 points...

We have a huge week ahead of us. All eyes will be on the CPI report Tuesday followed by the Fed’s announcement for monetary policy on Wednesday. The Fed has made hints at a slower rate hike for December – one can only assume that means a 50bp hike.After the Fed announces its policy change, they ...

The two main events that took place this last week were comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell along with the jobs report.Powell mentioned how we may see lower rate hikes starting in December. That dovish tone set off a market rally on Wednesday that wanted to continue through the week.Markets ...

We are coming off of a short week and heading into a packed one. Let’s first discuss the calendar.We hear from a few Fed members, get a variety of economic data, the Fed’s Beige Book is released, and finish the week with the unemployment rate on Friday.Monday St Louis Fed President Bullard inter...

Last week was yet another volatile week. The market has been salivating at any news in order to place their bets. We saw intraday volatility spike. PPI reports came in better than expected but then Fed members were more hawkish in their stances. Markets are trying to digest all this contradictor...

Inflation came in lower than expected. We saw the bond market rally more on Friday than any other day this year. Inflation year over year was lower but month over month did not decrease. However, the fact that it beat expectations was enough to spark a rally.The Fed will be looking for trends/pat...

We had a very, as should always be expected, volatile week. The Fed raised rates by 75bps – but this should come as no surprise.The markets began to rally when the expected rate hike took place and Powell began his speech by discussing lower future hikes. However, the market quickly turned when ...

We have a huge week coming up. The Fed is meeting and will announce policy changes on November 2nd. The market is expecting a 75bp hike. We also get unemployment numbers on Friday.This past year I've been talking about a rally for midterm elections and I believe it was sparked last week. I expect...

There has been a lot of speculation in the markets with regard to what the Fed will do (mostly for them to ease much sooner than expected). I don’t think anyone will doubt the 75 bp rate hike coming in November. The Fed won’t go higher than that next week because that will spook the markets into...

CPI numbers came out last week which caused markets to stir. The number everyone is watching is the month-over-month data, which came in at a 0.4% increase. This is more than the 0.1% increase before that, squandering some hopes of cooling inflation. Obviously, this is important because the Fed i...